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TEJAS NETWORKS LTD · QQ2 FY-2027 · THE CALL

55% growth fueled by BSNL, but losses widen; profitability timeline under pressure

The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.

Q2 FY27 resultsTEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd22 Oct 2026 · 6 min read
Verdict

Hold

confidence 6/10

Credibility

Grade B

Q1 FY27 guidance (12–18 mo to positive EBITDA, then PAT) not explicitly reiterated; timeline appears extended. BSNL order is a major win but creates concentration risk.

Short-term outlook

Cautiously Optimistic

next 1–2 quarters

Long-term outlook

Optimistic

multi-year

Revenue growth is genuine (55% YoY on ₹406 Cr), but severe margin compression (-50% NPM) and a BSNL order-dependent recovery create execution risk. BSNL contributes 65% of order book and requires government payment flow; inventory ₹2.3 Cr and net debt ₹384 Cr will deteriorate if execution slips. Management's 'coming quarters' EBITDA target is speculative given current burn.

₹405.7 Cr

Revenue · +54.9% YoY

₹-206.9 Cr

Reported PAT · +32.6% YoY

Compressing

Margins · vs guidance: Mixed

Did the claims hold up?

Management's claims vs. the numbers

Q2 revenue reached ₹406 Cr, a 55% YoY improvement

MET

Delivered ₹405.7 Cr vs ₹262 Cr in Q2 FY26 = 54.9% growth

PAT loss of ₹207 Cr improved from ₹307 Cr in Q2 FY26

MET

PAT loss ₹206.9 Cr vs ₹307 Cr = 32.6% improvement, confirmed

EBITDA negative ₹108 Cr improved from ₹293 Cr negative in Q2 FY26

MET

Statement aligns with loss reduction trajectory, not independently verified

BSNL order for 18,685 4G sites received LOI and started shipments

MET

Order book shows ₹2,315 Cr (up from ₹1,529 Cr), ₹1,500 Cr attributed to BSNL per MD

Expected significant collections and inventory reduction from BSNL in coming quarters

OVERSTATED

Inventory ₹2,314 Cr remains high; receivables reduction dependent on BSNL payment flow

Path to positive EBITDA in coming quarters

OVERSTATED

EBITDA still ₹108 Cr negative with ₹207 Cr loss; timeline vague and aggressive given burn rate

Earnings quality

What changed since the last call

Deltas vs. the prior call

BSNL order announced and LOI signed

New

₹1,500 Cr BSNL 4G expansion order (18,685 sites) received; prior Q1 call mentioned BSNL 4G expected in Q1 FY27, but order book now reflects it.

Order book momentum accelerated

Upgrade

Order book ₹2,315 Cr vs ₹1,529 Cr in Q1 (51% QoQ growth); prior call had no quantified order book target, only 'strong visibility.'

International traction emerging (POCs, new customers)

New

New pan-African Tier 1 telco customer for optical, 5G RAN POCs in Americas/Asia Pacific; prior call mentioned intent but no named customer wins.

Profitability timeline unquantified, no regression in stated path

Neutral

Q1 guidance: 'Path to positive EBITDA in 12–18 months, then PAT.' Q2 call says 'coming quarters' for EBITDA—timeline not explicitly extended but Q2 EBITDA loss -₹108 Cr suggests slippage risk.

The Q&A

Analysts pressed hard on BSNL receivables timing (Tushar Khurana), contract manufacturing costs (Keyurkumar Vadaliya), and international opportunity size (Kumar Sivarajan). Management held up reasonably, confirming BSNL payment by quarter-end and explaining non-recurring costs, but deflected on NEC revenue scale and international market penetration rates. Q&A tone was honest on execution challenges but defensive on aggressive claims.

The exchanges that mattered

BSNL receivables and collection timing — Tushar Khurana, Peace Wealth

Partial

Milestone deliveries on track; significant collections expected this quarter as we hit payment milestones. ₹1,500 Cr order not fully in order book yet—will come as POs arrive—but most expected by quarter-end.

International strategy and market expansion — Tushar Khurana, Peace Wealth

Answered

We target emerging markets in next expansion phase, Tier 1/2 operators with custom requirements. POCs underway in Americas and Asia Pacific. Smaller, more responsive operators are our initial market; larger incumbents move slower.

Technology partnerships and joint solutions — Tushar Khurana, Peace Wealth

Partial

We are radio development partner for many future radios. NEC partnership includes licensing massive MIMO 5G tech and supplying to their customers. Joint solutions approach—we provide radio; they provide core/CU/DU.

Contract manufacturing losses and recurrence risk — Keyurkumar Vadaliya, Niveshah

Answered

One-time provisioning in September 2025 for the first 100K BSNL units; not in Q2 current quarter. Gross margins expected to improve as volume ramps.

AI data centers and railway deployment — Keyurkumar Vadaliya, Niveshah

Partial

Data center interconnect is part of our newer optimized product portfolio. Railway trial in 700 MHz for Kavach (internal comms). Data center market important focus, with several existing customer wins already deployed.

International POCs and vendor qualification — Tushar Khurana, Peace Wealth

Partial

Multiple POCs underway with Tier 1 and Tier 2 operators in Americas and Asia Pacific. POCs are for vendor qualification for next expansion phase. We are testing across multiple bands with custom radio requirements.

D2M RFP and system integrator role — Tushar Khurana, Peace Wealth

Answered

Not as system integrator; we are radio/broadcast head vendor. If the RFP happens, system integrators will participate. We are well-positioned as a vendor; we will not be the system integrator.

NEC collaboration, MIMO radio technology, and revenue scaling — Tushar Khurana, Peace Wealth

Partial

We licensed massive MIMO 5G radio tech from NEC and are supplying to their customers. Also developing new generation radios based on tech with changes we made. Supplying both to existing NEC customers and new ones; cannot comment on revenue numbers.

Guidance

Forward guidance and management's confidence

BSNL-driven revenue ramp expected next few quarters

Medium

Order book ₹2,315 Cr provides multi-quarter visibility; BSNL 4G roll-out timing is government-dependent. Non-BSNL orders ~₹800 Cr also visible.

Path to quarterly positive EBITDA in coming quarters

Low

Current EBITDA -₹108 Cr in Q2. Management cites inventory reduction and cost control post-BSNL ramp, but timeline is vague and execution risk is material.

PAT profitability expected in upcoming years

Low

No quantified path provided. PAT currently -₹207 Cr (NPM -50%). Requires both margin expansion and EBITDA positivity; highly speculative at current burn rate.

Continued capex investments in 5G Advanced, 6G, and AI RAN

High

Management confirmed strategic focus on next-gen wireless tech and data center interconnect product development. Capex is ongoing but no quantified target disclosed.

Risks the call surfaced

Ranked by how much they should concern a holder

BSNL concentration and government payment risk

High

BSNL represents ₹1,500 Cr of ₹2,315 Cr order book (65% concentration). Payment dependent on government budget releases and BSNL cash flow. Delay cascades to inventory, debt, and receivables.

Inventory overhang and working capital burn

High

Inventory ₹2,314 Cr (flat QoQ, 5.7x Q2 revenue annualized) built for BSNL order. If BSNL delays execution or payment, inventory becomes a cash drain and balance sheet deteriorates.

Profitability timeline slippage and cash burn

Medium

Q1 FY27 guidance promised 'path to positive EBITDA in 12–18 months.' Q2 shows -₹108 Cr EBITDA loss and -₹207 Cr PAT loss. Management now says 'coming quarters' for EBITDA (vague) and 'upcoming years' for PAT, suggesting timeline extension.

International POC conversion and market traction risk

Medium

International POCs are in early qualification phase (vendor selection for next expansion). No confirmed orders or timelines. Emerging market telcos (Tier 1/2 in Americas, Asia Pacific) are high-risk credit and may delay capex or pivot vendors.

Technology execution and competitive moat risk

Low

5G Advanced, 6G, and AI RAN are long-term bets (6G commercial 2029). Current product portfolio is undifferentiated; margins compressed despite 55% revenue growth. Competitive pressure from Ericsson, Nokia, Samsung.

Management

Score 6/10. Clear on technology and product strategy; weak on financial guidance clarity. MD Arnob Roy communicates strategy confidently but deflects on international revenue scale. CFO AVS Prasad provides detailed financial context (e.g., ₹145 Cr provisioning explanation) but timeline estimates are vague. Met Q2 revenue guidance (₹406 Cr aligned with ₹402 Cr Q1 flat expectation). PAT loss ₹207 Cr improved from ₹307 Cr, confirming EBITDA improvement narrative. However, profitability timeline appears delayed vs Q1 FY27 'path to positive EBITDA in 12–18 months' claim.

What to watch next
  • 1 · Q3 FY27 (Oct–Dec 2026)

    BSNL 4G order execution and initial payment milestones

  • 2 · Q4 FY27 (Jan–Mar 2027)

    Inventory rundown and receivables collection, path to positive quarterly EBITDA

  • 3 · H2 FY27

    International POC conversions (Americas, Asia Pacific telcos) to commercial orders

Management's 'coming quarters' EBITDA target is speculative given current burn.

Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.