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STOVE KRAFT LTD · QQ1 FY-2027 · THE CALL

Record Q1, margins expanded, IKEA delayed but long-term targets raised

The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.

Q1 FY27 resultsSTOVEKRAFTStove Kraft Ltd17 Aug 2026 · 6 min read
Verdict

Buy

confidence 7/10

Credibility

Grade B

Hit EBITDA margin guidance (11% protected → 11.2% delivered). IKEA revenue target downmodeled (200-250 Cr → 5-6% of business). One-time items (job work, commissions, CSR) inflated Q1 opex by 3.5%; excluding these, underlying margin solid.

Short-term outlook

Optimistic

next 1–2 quarters

Long-term outlook

Very Optimistic

multi-year

Q1 delivered broad-based growth (41.3% revenue) with margin expansion (11.2% EBITDA, 71 bps YoY) across categories, validating capex cycle payoff. Long-term CAGR of 15-20% + EBITDA margin path to 14-15% credible given triply capacity online Q3 and general trade recovery. Key risk: ICT represents 27% revenue and is normalizing; IKEA ramp unproven at scale; PAT margins at 3.5% remain low relative to 7% aspiration.

₹480.6 Cr

Revenue · +41.3% YoY

₹17.1 Cr

Reported PAT · +63.5% YoY

Expanding

Margins · vs guidance: Corroborated

Did the claims hold up?

Management's claims vs. the numbers

Strongest ever first quarter since inception

MET

Revenue 480.6 Cr (41.3% YoY), PAT 17.1 Cr (63.5% YoY) — validates claim historically

Induction cooktop 315.9% YoY growth, structural shift not temporary

OVERSTATED

ICT at 27% of revenue; management later guided 20% contribution for FY27, implying moderation. Structural above pre-war but normalization acknowledged

Gross margins expanded 127 bps despite supply chain headwinds

MET

Gross profit up 46% YoY, margins 127 bps higher — delivered as stated

EBITDA margin improved to 11.2% (71 bps), protecting prior 11% guidance

MET

Delivered 11.2%, exceeding prior 'protect 11%' guidance. Management confident of further expansion

IKEA commercial ramp starting Q2 with eventual 200-250 Cr revenue target

MISS

Q1: zero revenue (not started). Q2: commencement confirmed. But now modeled as 5-6% of eventual business (~90-110 Cr), not 200-250 Cr

Earnings quality

What changed since the last call

Deltas vs. the prior call

IKEA revenue expectation downmodeled

Downgrade

Prior guidance 200-250 Cr eventual target. Now stated as 5-6% of future business (likely 90-110 Cr at ~1800-1900 Cr revenue base). Still 'huge opportunity' but lower absolute expectation

EBITDA margin trajectory upgraded

Upgrade

Prior: 'protect and improve 11%'. Q1 delivered 11.2%. Now guided to 14-15% in 2-3 years vs prior baseline. ROCE improved to 13.9%, ROE to 9.3%

General trade recovery confirmed as durable

Upgrade

Q1 general trade growth 56.2% (strongest in 3 years). Had been muted for 2-3 years. Call indicates sustained momentum ahead

ICT guidance moderated

Downgrade

Q1 at 27% of revenue. FY27 guided to 'at least 20%' contribution. Implies normalization from spike (315.9% growth not sustainable)

The Q&A

Analysts pressed on growth sustainability vs external tailwinds (GST benefit, ICT war-driven spike, LPG concern). Management held ground on 15%+ FY27 target, 20% non-ICT growth confidence, but moderated IKEA ($200-250 Cr to 5-6%). Transparent on one-time items. No evasion on major topics except exchange program revenue quantification (not provided but flagged as immaterial).

The exchanges that mattered

Q2-Q4 growth sustainability — Manoj Gori, Equirus Capital

Answered

Q2-Q3 larger quarters with festive season (Onam, Dussehra, Diwali spread). Manufacturing facilities now fully operational. Innovations delayed from Q1 now rolling out. Confident of strong performance. ICT has structural shift; non-ICT categories have pipeline. Overall quarters look very strong.

Margin sustainability & pricing power — Manoj Gori, Equirus Capital

Answered

Cost-plus model: all input cost increases passed on. Prices raised for domestic and export. Favorable export pricing environment. Confident of current margin levels, improving from here. At least 1% gross margin improvement year-on-year targeted. Some headroom remaining.

Exports and IKEA contribution — Vinod Krishna, Avendus Wealth

Partial

Export was 12% last year, targeting 15% in next two years. IKEA treated as deemed export. Export growth continuing in Q1. Q2 is when IKEA business starts. Absolute numbers difficult to provide; will be part of export guidance. (Note: Prior target 200-250 Cr for IKEA eventually not restated; later clarified as 5-6% of business)

PAT margin progression to 5%+ — Vinod Krishna, Avendus Wealth

Partial

Financial leverage already setting in. Revenue growth + EBITDA expansion + fixed costs below EBITDA = all incremental flow to PAT. Will see this continuously quarter-on-quarter. No specific timeline given, but trajectory intact toward 7%.

Q2 growth on high base — Vinod Krishna, Avendus Wealth

Answered

Q2 historically strongest quarter. Will continue to be. Q1 stronger so Q2 will be in line with that. May not be exactly same growth rate as Q1 but very strong demand being witnessed. Growth across three categories.

Working capital days trajectory — Rehan Saiyyed, Trinetra Asset Managers

Answered

Q1 we build inventory for the year. Historically Q4 FY25 was 75 days, Q1 FY25/FY26 at 69 days, now improved to 45 days. Moving to straight-line production plan. Irrespective of seasonal cycles, targeting uniform production. Overall only improving on working capital ratios.

Manufacturing & sourcing moat — Rehan Saiyyed, Trinetra Asset Managers

Answered

Demonstration: addressing ICT market when SE Asia grappling with supply chain challenges. Very strong manufacturing capability. Very strong supply chain (both domestic and China imports). This differentiation vs peers is unique to Stove Kraft.

China JV for triply cookware — Anand Mundra, Soar Wealth

Answered

WS wholly owned subsidiary for domestic China purchases + export drawbacks. JV for triply manufacturing. Facility is largest/among largest in China. Installing machines. Commercial triply production by end-2026 or before December. Huge global + domestic demand. Induction cooking aggravated demand. Triply efficiency far higher than stainless steel.

Other expenses spike explanation — Anand Mundra, Soar Wealth

Answered

Increase in four buckets: (1) Job work +1.2% (temporary outsourcing for ICT surge); (2) Marketing +1.2% (strategic 3.5-3.6% allocation); (3) Franchise commissions +1% (mix shifted from 43% to 56% franchise-operated); (4) CSR advance 94 lakhs (~3% of PBT, 1% above stipulated). Explained 3.5% of sales, offset by operating leverage, landing 18%. Will come down as these normalize.

Finance costs elevated despite low debt — Anand Mundra, Soar Wealth

Answered

YTD ₹7 Cr finance cost. Three components: (1) Fund-based (working capital lines) saved ₹2 Cr YoY; (2) ROU leases; (3) Asset lease (taken Q3 FY26) added ₹2 Cr. Overall as % of sales: 2.1% to 1.6% (improved). Most is indirect supporting; direct CCM interest portion not specified.

Gross margin path to 40-42% — Anand Mundra, Soar Wealth

Partial

Confident of increasing gross margin at least 1% year-on-year. Ideally above 40%, settle between 40-42%. Financial leverage will play out. Trajectory toward 7%. (Note: to reach 18-20% ROE would require higher PAT margins; acknowledged as 'our endeavor')

Material costs and price hikes — Maghav Agarwal, Emerge Capital

Answered

Cost-plus model. Any input cost increase passed on. Challenges in input costs post-Q1 addressed by increasing realization for domestic and export. No worry; cost-plus ensures price increases follow. Arrangements with large suppliers on quarterly basis manage input cost.

Induction cooktop growth moderation — Maghav Agarwal, Emerge Capital

Answered

On annualized basis, we still believe 2x of last year. (Implies 100% growth for rest of FY27, moderation from 315.9% Q1)

Revenue growth attribution (volume vs value) — Nikhat Koor, Dolat

Answered

Combination of product mix, value growth, volume growth. All three contributed; ICT higher growth. Premiumization evident (stainless pressure cooker > aluminium). Continuous pricing increases for cost. Yes, 11% EBITDA sustainable. Confident at least 1% margin improvement YoY, targeting 14-15% range in 2-3 years.

IKEA commercial launch timing — Shazad Shroff, Demeter Advisors

Answered

No, not in Q1 reported. Q2 is when IKEA business is starting.

Growth rates Q3-Q4 when bases get harder — Resham Mehta, GreenEdge Wealth

Answered

(Chandru) Premiumization is key theme. Stove Kraft building differentiated products for this. Creating category growth, not just riding wave. Non-induction growth target nearly 20% if we execute well. 15%+ growth consistently in categories we operate in. Given product development + innovations lined up.

Gross margin QoQ expansion driver — Resham Mehta, GreenEdge Wealth

Answered

Cost-plus model. When correcting prices, also addressing increased aspiration for gross margin. Price corrections carry embedded margin improvements beyond cost pass-through.

Exchange program revenue contribution — Resham Mehta, GreenEdge Wealth

Dodged

Regular Q1 occurrence. If not done, Q1 would be even softer. Everyday affair, every year. Good consumer response. EBOs grew 80%-odd, general trade 50%-odd from these programs. Not quantified. (Implication: material for Q1 but not disclosed separately)

Growth sustainability despite external tailwinds — Vinod Krishna, Avendus Wealth

Answered

(Rajendra) Three levers: cost control (mfg + operational), brand (youngest peer but volume leader many categories), distribution (across channels). Historically 17-18% CAGR (10 years). Innovation + China capabilities. Highly backward integrated, agile. Can develop products faster. Cost + distribution + brand unique combination. 15%+ range is not surprising. (Chandru) External factors: mature categories upgrading, impulse buying, economy growth (mid/upper-mid). Internal: most highly backward integrated, agile, quick innovation to market.

Retail store productivity metrics — Vinod Krishna, Avendus Wealth

Answered

Beyond 2.5 lakhs/store/month is profitable. Currently at 4.3 lakhs/month. Target: stabilize at 5 lakhs/month.

Export expansion beyond US — Vinod Krishna, Avendus Wealth

Answered

IKEA supplies for global markets. UK large retailer already working. Walmart in US. Small other retailers. Enough potential in existing customers. Will add quality customers in years ahead.

ICT monthly run rate and normalization — Rohan Advant, Prad Capital

Partial

Good traction, demand excess of pre-war levels. Confident ICT contribution at least 20% and little above as progress through year. (Implies monthly ~45+ Cr trending, from ~10 Cr pre-war baseline)

Chimneys category opportunity — Anand Mundra, Soar Wealth

Answered

(Chandru) Fantastic movement in chimney category. Revamped entire range from AC motors to BLDC motors. Makes us ahead of competitors. Own retail to drive. Very competitive due to internal manufacturing. Building new designs/features. Tremendous potential. Pushing envelope on chimneys and built-in hobs.

IKEA revenue ceiling and business diversification — Anand Mundra, Soar Wealth

Answered

Appreciate confidence in IKEA. Also very excited, high-quality business with learning. But business diversified into channels + products with huge innovation pipeline. At best, full-blown IKEA = 5-6% of business. Today is nothing. Multiple growth opportunities: chimneys (huge), triply (backward integrated before full investment), rice cooker (high traction), OTG, mixer-grinder headroom, EBOs (86% growth, years ahead), general trade recovery, exports. IKEA not underplayed, huge + exciting, but too many avenues.

Regional contribution and growth dynamics — Nikhat Koor, Dolat

Answered

South larger base, continue to grow. North bigger opportunities, smaller base. Absolute % growth faster in rest of country vs South. General trade growth opportunity % larger than rest. South strongest (50%), West, North, East. (Note: South ~50% of revenue, growing but slower; North/East/West growing faster % but from smaller base)

Guidance

Forward guidance and management's confidence

FY27 revenue growth 15%+ (from prior 15%+ for full year)

High

Q1 at 41.3% but acknowledges external tailwinds (GST, ICT spike). Festive Q2-Q3 large quarters. Management confident of continued strong performance

ICT to contribute at least 20% of FY27 revenue

High

Q1 at 27%; implies moderation but demand above pre-war. 2x last year annualized basis (100% FY growth)

Non-induction categories to grow ~20% if execution right

Medium

Premiumization-led; depends on innovation launches now underway; Chandru's specific target

EBITDA margin 11%+ maintained, track to 14-15% in 2-3 years

High

Q1 delivered 11.2% (beat 'protect 11%'). At least 1% margin improvement YoY. Path to 14-15% by FY29-30 with operating leverage + product mix

Gross margin to increase at least 1% annually, settle 40-42% ongoing

High

Q1 +127 bps, cost-plus model ensures pass-through. Price increases for domestic + export ongoing

PAT margin trajectory to 7% long-term

Medium

Currently 3.5%; financial leverage accelerating. Fixed costs below EBITDA means incremental flow to bottom line. Timeline not specified

Triply automated line to come online end-Q3 FY27

High

China JV capacity under installation; commercial production by Dec 2026. Supports pressure cooker + cookware margin + mix improvement

EBO expansion to 500 outlets by end-2027

Medium

Added 17 in Q1; retail momentum 86% growth. Target implies ~80+ stores/quarter, substantial but dependent on site availability + franchise interest

Risks the call surfaced

Ranked by how much they should concern a holder

ICT demand normalization

High

ICT at 27% of Q1 revenue, 315.9% growth. Management guided to 20% FY27 contribution, implying sequential moderation. If demand falls faster than expected, growth deceleration.

PAT margin still sub-5%

Medium

PAT margin at 3.5% despite 11.2% EBITDA (margin). Path to 7% long-term requires multiple quarters of execution; at current 13.9% ROCE, returns still below FMCG peers.

IKEA revenue downgrade

Medium

Prior guidance 200-250 Cr IKEA revenue. Q1 call modeled as 5-6% of future business (~90-110 Cr at 1800+ Cr revenue base). Absolute expectation reduced ~55-60%. Commercial ramp in Q2 unproven.

External tailwind dependency

Medium

41% revenue growth driven partly by GST benefit (affordability), ICT war-driven spike (geopolitical), LPG crisis (induction shift). Once these normalize, underlying growth rate unproven.

Working capital cash drag

Low

NWC increased to 45 days (Q1 inventory buildup). If festive season demand slower than expected, inventory turn delayed and cash tied up longer.

Management

Score 7/10. Clear on financials and product strategy. Transparent on one-time items (job work 1.2%, commissions 1%, CSR advance). Honest about IKEA downgrade (from 200-250 Cr to 5-6% of business). Evasive on exchange program revenue contribution. CFO involved for detailed questions. Met prior guidance on EBITDA margin ('protect 11%' → delivered 11.2%) and GM improvement (1% targeted, 127 bps delivered). ICT guidance softened to 20% (from 27% Q1, acknowledging moderation). IKEA delayed (starts Q2, not Q1) but JV capacity on track (by end-2026). General trade recovery credible (+56.2%). No major execution misses.

What to watch next
  • 1 · Q2 FY27 (Aug-Sep 2026)

    IKEA commercial supplies commence; festive season (Onam, Dussehra) demand; general trade momentum continues

  • 2 · Q3 FY27 (Oct-Dec 2026)

    Triply capacity comes online (China JV); Diwali peak season; non-induction innovations launch

  • 3 · End-2026

    500 standalone Pigeon EBO outlets target (from 17 added in Q1); export + IKEA revenue scaling

Key risk: ICT represents 27% revenue and is normalizing; IKEA ramp unproven at scale; PAT margins at 3.5% remain low relative to 7% aspiration.

Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.