Manali Petro Q1: consol PAT +349% YoY, but ~97% is an inventory-swing, not steady growth
PAT +348.8% YoY · revenue +17.07% · margins expanding
₹274.72 Cr
+17.07% YoY
₹64.36 Cr
+348.8% YoY
22.31%
+16.4pp YoY
₹3.74
Manali Petrochemicals' consolidated Q1 FY27 revenue was ₹274.72 Cr, up 17.1% YoY (₹234.67 Cr) but down 6.1% QoQ (₹292.66 Cr). Consolidated PAT was ₹64.36 Cr, a reported 348.8% YoY jump (₹14.34 Cr) and 121.7% QoQ jump (₹29.03 Cr), taking NPM to 22.3% (from 5.9% YoY, 9.7% QoQ) and EPS to ₹3.74 (from ₹0.83). No exceptional items were booked this quarter or in the year-ago quarter, so the print is clean on that count — but the headline growth is not driven by core operations.
Q1 FY-2027 vs prior quarters
The changes-in-inventories line swung from a ₹15.39 Cr expense (inventory drawdown) in Q1 FY26 to a ₹47.06 Cr credit (inventory build-up) this quarter — a ₹62.45 Cr favorable swing that accounts for essentially the entire ₹64.57 Cr YoY increase in pre-tax profit (₹84.53 Cr vs ₹19.96 Cr). Stripping this swing out, adjusted PBT is roughly flat-to-up modestly (~₹37.5 Cr adjusted vs ~₹35.4 Cr adjusted a year ago), and adjusted PAT growth works out to roughly +10% YoY rather than the reported +349% — a steady quarter, not the breakout the headline suggests. Cost of materials consumed rose in line with revenue (+30.8% YoY to ₹168.25 Cr), so the underlying cost/pricing picture, ex the inventory timing effect, hasn't moved sharply.
The stock went into the print at ₹68.83, up 8.2% over the past month of trading.
For context: this is the second-highest quarterly PAT of the last 6 quarters.
Standalone (parent-only) PAT was ₹55.52 Cr, up 1,738% YoY from a thin ₹3.02 Cr base — a much bigger jump than the consolidated number, because the inventory swing sits mostly at the parent. Subsidiary contribution to group profit actually fell YoY, to ₹8.84 Cr from ₹11.32 Cr, so the UK/EU and Singapore units (₹45.52 Cr of this quarter's ₹274.72 Cr revenue) were a modest drag rather than a driver. There is no prior management guidance on record, and no analyst/street consensus coverage could be found for this small-cap name, so both vsGuidance and vsStreet are unknown. Management's own release credits 'cost management, operational efficiency and improved product realizations' for the sequential profit jump; the materials-cost ratio holding roughly steady supports some role for cost control, but the inventory-timing swing is the dominant, and less repeatable, factor behind the print. Separately, the board declared a ₹0.50/share (10%) dividend, and Plant 1 resumed operations on 6th July 2026 after maintenance — meaning part of Q1's volumes were still constrained by the outage, a factor to watch alongside the elevated finished-goods inventory build heading into Q2.
W1
Q2 NPM/OPM trajectory once the ₹62.45 Cr inventory-swing benefit normalizes — this quarter's 22.3% NPM / ~30% OPM are not steady-state
W2
Whether the built-up finished-goods inventory (-₹47.06 Cr change-in-inventory this quarter) converts to sales now that Plant 1 is back online (resumed 6th July 2026)
W3
Subsidiary/EU-UK profit contribution (₹8.84 Cr this quarter vs ₹11.32 Cr YoY) — whether it recovers or continues to lag the parent