
Confidence Petroleum Q1 FY27: consol PAT triples YoY to ₹61.9 Cr as revenue surges 117%
Confidence Petroleum's consolidated revenue jumped 116.6% YoY to ₹2,408.5 Cr (₹1,112.0 Cr a year ago) and 98.1% QoQ (₹1,215.7 Cr in Q4 FY26), with PAT attributable to owners more than tripling YoY to ₹61.9 Cr (₹20.2 Cr) and up 97.5% QoQ (₹31.4 Cr); EPS rose to ₹1.86 from ₹0.61. Standalone (parent-only) grew slightly faster — revenue +120.9% YoY to ₹2,348.8 Cr, PAT +213.4% YoY to ₹60.8 Cr — indicating subsidiaries contributed a marginally smaller share of the consolidated growth this quarter, though the divergence is modest and both entities tell the same story of a volume/price-led surge. There is no management guidance on record and no company-specific Q1 street consensus was found in a web search; the only public estimate located was a full-year FY27 analyst PAT-growth projection of roughly 15-20% (Univest, price-target note) tied to a ₹81.5 target — a figure this quarter's ~207% YoY PAT growth already runs well ahead of on an annualised basis, so vsGuidance/vsStreet are recorded as unknown rather than inferred. Margins moved in different directions: EBITDA margin (PBT adjusted for other income, finance cost and D&A, divided by revenue) compressed to about 6.0% from 7.4% YoY, while net margin expanded to 2.6% from 1.8%, as finance costs and depreciation grew far slower than the near-doubling of revenue, giving operating leverage even as per-unit trading margins thinned. Note 5 attributes the per-unit squeeze to the Auto LPG division being "subdued due to higher prices and lower availability," as the company prioritised higher-margin Bulk LPG supply and mandated PCD (domestic cooking gas) supply amid Middle East-driven LPG price volatility — management's own framing for why revenue surged while EBITDA margin did not keep pace. Governance activity this quarter includes a board committee reconstitution and a director resignation (both June 4), and BW LPG's divestment of its entire JV stake coincides with Annexure 1 showing BW Confidence Enterprises and GBC LPG converting from joint ventures to subsidiaries effective April 8, 2026 — consolidating entities that were previously only proportionately consolidated, though the filing does not quantify that shift's contribution to the print. Two unresolved items carry forward without provisioning: a ₹12.88 Cr GST input-tax-credit mismatch (Note 4, auditors' emphasis of matter) and an October 2025 income-tax department search at company premises with no written outcome yet (Note 8).
Key Highlights
- Consolidated revenue ₹2,408.5 Cr, up 116.6% YoY (₹1,112.0 Cr) and 98.1% QoQ (₹1,215.7 Cr), on sharply higher LPG trading volumes/price pass-through.
- Owners' PAT ₹61.9 Cr, up ~207% YoY (₹20.2 Cr) and 97.5% QoQ (₹31.4 Cr); EPS ₹1.86 vs ₹0.61 YoY; total PAT incl. NCI ₹62.55 Cr.
- EBITDA margin compressed to ~6.0% from 7.4% YoY even as net margin expanded to 2.6% from 1.8%, as finance/D&A costs lagged the revenue surge.
- Management attributes the margin squeeze to a subdued Auto LPG division (higher prices, lower availability) amid Middle East LPG supply volatility, as the company prioritised higher-margin Bulk and mandated PCD supply (Note 5).
- Standalone (parent-only) PAT ₹60.8 Cr, up 213.4% YoY on revenue of ₹2,348.8 Cr (+120.9% YoY) — modestly ahead of the consolidated growth rate.
- BW LPG divested its entire JV stake; Annexure 1 shows BW Confidence Enterprises and GBC LPG became subsidiaries (from joint ventures) effective April 8, 2026, alongside a June 4 board committee reconstitution and a director resignation.
- ₹12.88 Cr GST input-tax-credit reconciliation gap (auditors' emphasis of matter, Note 4) and an unresolved October 2025 income-tax search (Note 8) remain unprovisioned; management sees no material impact.
Price Impact
More from CONFIPET