Margins recover, but revenue growth collapses vs prior 8–10% guidance
The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.
Hold
confidence 6/10
Grade C
Consumer EBIT guidance 6–7% missed at 4%. Lighting double-digit margin target missed; 3.1% EBIT delivered.
Cautiously Optimistic
next 1–2 quarters
Optimistic
multi-year
Revenue guidance of 8–10% quarterly growth missed sharply at 1.5%; margins recovering (EBIT +140 bps) but off a low base (4.4%). BLDC fan growth (56%) and consumer appliances show early green shoots, but execution risk is high: lost fan market share, lighting margins fell short of guidance. Shekhar's leadership transition and defensive tone on underperformance signal challenges ahead.
₹1123.3 Cr
Revenue · +1.5% YoY₹26.1 Cr
Reported PAT · +164.7% YoYExpanding
Margins · vs guidance: OverstatedDid the claims hold up?
Revenue growth was modest at 1.5%
METQ2 FY27 revenue ₹1,123.3 Cr vs ₹1,107.0 Cr Q2 FY26 = +1.5% YoY
Gross margin maintained 31.9%, up 70 bps YoY
MET31.9% vs 31.4% = +70 bps confirmed
EBIT margin improved 140 bps from 3% to 4.4%
METEBIT margin now 4.4% vs 3% prior year = +140 bps confirmed
PBT more than doubled from ₹15 Cr to ₹35 Cr YoY
METPAT reported ₹26.1 Cr but PBT trajectory confirmed
Consumer Products EBIT margin stable at 4%
METManagement claimed consistent 4% EBIT margin Q2, adjusted 5.9% ex-brand spend
Prior guidance: 8–10% quarterly revenue growth
MISSQ2 FY27 delivered 1.5% revenue growth = 15–19% of guidance target
Lighting Solutions achieved double-digit margins
MISSLighting EBIT margin 3.1%, down 1.3% YoY = missed prior guidance
Earnings quality
What changed since the last call
Revenue growth guidance cut
DowngradePrior: 8–10% quarterly growth. Q2 FY27: 1.5%. No formal retraction but clearly missed and now conditional FY28 guidance issued
Consumer Products EBIT margin repriced
DowngradePrior: 6–7% sustained for 2 years. Current: 4%, 5.9% adjusted. Below guidance floor
Lighting margin target shelved
WithdrawnPrior: double-digit margins targeted. Delivered: 3.1% EBIT, down 1.3% YoY
Leadership transition announced
DowngradeShekhar Bajaj stepping down from CEO role as of 1 Jan 2027; signals governance/strategy shift
Pricing discipline eased
NeutralPrior: 'no major price increases needed'. Actual: one price hike in lighting taken Oct 2026, Consumer Products hike under evaluation
The Q&A
Analyst Keshav Garg pressed hard on share losses, underperformance vs smaller peers, and 16-year stock stagnation. Management defensive; Shekhar deflected to EPC separation context. Overall tone: management acknowledged miss but framed as transition/correction in progress.
Consumer Products growth lag — Sameer Gupta, IIFL Capital
PartialBLDC fans up 56%, premium fans down but BLDC driving category. Channel consolidation underway, portfolio shift in progress. Building capacities next 3–6 months.
Consumer lighting new categories — Praveen Sahay, PL Capital
Answered20–25% of total coming from new business (wires, switches). Focused on 4 states for penetration and faster growth.
Structural underperformance — Keshav Garg, CCIPL
PartialMost categories stable/growing except fans (share lost in '22–'23 due to portfolio change). Now recovering with BLDC ramp. EPC separation changed the baseline; next 2 years will show correction.
BLDC fan economics — Rabindra Nath, Nirmal Bang
AnsweredQ-o-Q +56%. Premium + BLDC = 30% of ceiling fan portfolio. Average pricing ₹2,500–3,000. Ramping capacity next 4–6 months to accelerate.
Pricing and volume in winter demand — Manoj Gori, Equrius Capital
AnsweredWater heaters better margin profile. One price hike in lighting Oct 2026. Evaluating Consumer Products hike. Inflation on metals and plastics; half to be absorbed by productivity, half by pricing.
Inventory, channel, wire revenue, FY28 guidance — Manan Goyal, ICICI Securities
PartialChannel improved, inventory discipline good. Wires launched Feb 2026, still small. FY28: grow double-digit ahead of market (if market 8%, grow 10%; if 6%, grow 8%). EBITDA margin: double-digit, dynamic based on opportunities.
FY28 EBITDA margin and strategic focus — Keshav Garg, CCIPL
AnsweredIn next 2–3 years, surpass INR320 Cr EBITDA — that will happen. Focus on 2 brands (Bajaj, Morphy Richards). No plans to exit fans, lighting, or kitchen appliances. Channel synergies and innovation are the way forward.
Guidance
FY28: double-digit growth ahead of market
MediumConditional (if market 8%, grow 10%; if 6%, grow 8%). Wires scale-up, BLDC ramp, consumer lighting new categories expected to drive.
Q2 FY27 delivered 1.5% growth
HighActual result; commodity costs and market consolidation cited as headwinds. Below prior explicit 8–10% quarterly guidance.
FY28: double-digit EBITDA margin targeted
LowNo specific number given; 'dynamic based on opportunities.' Vague hedging suggests uncertainty on delivery given Q2 margins only 4.4%.
Consumer EBIT: 6–7% sustained over 2 years (prior)
LowCurrently 4% actual, 5.9% adjusted ex-brand. Material shortfall vs prior guidance; no formal restatement but clearly missed.
Lighting EBIT: double-digit margins (prior)
LowCurrently 3.1%, down 1.3% YoY. Guidance withdrawn; professional lighting pressure and consumer mix shift cited.
BLDC fan capacity expansion Q3–Q4 FY27
HighNew BLDC production lines coming online in next 3–6 months; capacity will support 50%+ growth trajectory.
Risks the call surfaced
Revenue growth execution
HighQ2 FY27 delivered only 1.5% growth. Management cites commodity costs and market consolidation but no detailed action plan to return to 8–10% target. BLDC ramp and wires launch nascent.
Competitive share loss
HighKeshav Garg (CCIPL) pointed out that Bajaj has underperformed even smaller players, losing share in fans for 2–3 years. Stock price unchanged vs 16 years ago. Management admits loss but argues on EPC separation baseline.
Margin recovery stalled
MediumConsumer EBIT 4% vs 6–7% guidance; Lighting EBIT 3.1% vs double-digit target. Reported EBIT 4.4% vs stated goal of double-digit profitability. Cost control improving but pricing discipline hesitant (price hike taken late, evaluating more).
Lighting Solutions structural decline
MediumLighting revenue down 1.3% YoY. Professional lighting declining; lost some bids due to cost selectivity (inflation headwinds, unwilling to drop margin). Consumer lighting up double-digit on wires/switches but small base.
Leadership transition execution risk
MediumShekhar announced transition out of CEO role after Q2 call, moving to Non-Executive Director. Sudarshan Sampatikumar (Independent Director) to become Non-Executive Independent Chairman. Sanjay Sachdev continues as MD-CEO. Signals governance change; execution capability untested on turnaround.
Management
Score 6/10. Transparent on numbers (EBIT, margins, growth rates stated precisely) but evasive on turnaround mechanism. Conditional FY28 guidance (if market X, grow Y) lacked specificity. Shekhar's transition announcement clear but timing awkward (same call as miss). Missed prior 8–10% revenue guidance by 85%; consumer EBIT 4% vs 6–7% target; lighting EBIT 3.1% vs double-digit. BLDC (+56%) and EBIT margin recovery (+140 bps) are bright spots but insufficient to offset revenue shortfall.
1 · Q3 FY27
BLDC fan capacity ramp-up, new consumer lighting categories in 4 target states
2 · Oct 2026
Price increase taken in lighting; Consumer Products pricing evaluation underway
3 · FY28
Wires business (launched Feb 2026) scale-up, double-digit revenue growth target
Shekhar's leadership transition and defensive tone on underperformance signal challenges ahead.
Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.