Record PAT, strong AUM growth offset by home finance yield pressure
The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.
Hold
confidence 7/10
Grade B
Q1 guidance maintained; Q2 results track credit cost & disbursement momentum. Home book growth trajectory lags stated 17-18% FY27 target.
Cautiously Optimistic
next 1–2 quarters
Optimistic
multi-year
IIFL delivered an exceptional Q2 (PAT +93% YoY, AUM +38% YoY) driven by credit cost tailwinds and operational leverage. However, the home finance segment—critical to FY27 guidance—is growing only 4% QoQ with yield compressing 10bps, risking the 17-18% growth commitment. Capital raise (committed but not closed) and yield pressure in the core home book are key near-term risks.
₹4246.4 Cr
Revenue · +28.5% YoY₹805 Cr
Reported PAT · +92.6% YoYExpanding
Margins · vs guidance: MixedDid the claims hold up?
AUM growth 38% YoY and 8% QoQ
METRevenue grew 28.5% YoY and 8.4% QoQ; PAT 92.6% YoY, 12.9% QoQ
Home finance book growth 17-18% FY27 guidance
OVERSTATEDHome loan AUM grew 4% QoQ (implied ~16% annualized at best); yield down 10bps QoQ
Crossed INR800 crores PAT for first time
METQ2 PAT INR805 crores; calls this 'first time crossing on quarterly basis'
Credit cost discipline maintained at 1.5-1.7%
METProvision declined 5% sequentially to INR281 crores; NPA at 1.48% gross
Capital raise committed this quarter
OVERSTATEDBoard/shareholder approval received; 'talking to various investors'; no closure announced
Earnings quality
What changed since the last call
Home finance growth momentum stalls
DowngradeFY27 target 17-18% vs Q2 4% QoQ growth; yield down 10bps to 11.81% due to LAP mix shift; management signals 'slower' near-term.
Microfinance caution replaces growth
DowngradeSamasta AUM stable at INR10.8Cr; management says 'growth will pick up a little but will be cautious.' ROA 2.5-3% target by year-end not re-confirmed.
Credit cost beat continues
UpgradeNPA 1.48% (down 7bps QoQ); provision coverage 91%; credit cost declining vs 1.5-1.7% guidance, supporting profit expansion.
Fundraising extended timeline
NeutralCapital raise commitment firm but 'hopefully this quarter' vague; prior guidance: 'multiple options post-AGM.' No size committed.
The Q&A
Analysts pressed hard on gold loan NPA spike (1-30 DPD +30bps QoQ); management explained it's gold price-driven, historically minimal losses. Pushed back on home finance underperformance vs 17-18% FY27 target; management acknowledged slower pace but expressed confidence in H2 acceleration. Capital raise size/timing met with non-specifics.
Gold loan NPA increase — Gaurav Khandelwal, JPMorgan
AnsweredGold prices were lower at quarter-end vs start; small customers unable to pay temporarily. Historically, these normalize. LTVs close to 85% for affected cohort. Minimal ultimate losses due to collateral.
Capital raise size and timing — Gaurav Khandelwal, JPMorgan
PartialBoard and shareholder approval obtained last quarter. Talking to various investors. No answer on QIP vs private equity yet. 'Hopefully this quarter we close something.' Dilution will be 10-20%.
Home finance growth guidance miss — Yash Dantewadia, Dante Equity
PartialDisbursements growing 10% QoQ. AUM growth slower because LAP segment (lower yields) gaining share. 'In second half, we should see accelerated growth' as branches ramp. ROE target 16-18% for home next year.
Insurance commission impact — Gaurav Khandelwal, JPMorgan
AnsweredStand-alone IIFL: negligible. Samasta (HFC): INR78Cr. HFC: INR160Cr at group. Commission declines from 14% to 2.5-5% under new regime. Minimally dilutive on consolidated.
Microfinance ROA progress — Implicit in guidance questions
DodgedManagement cautions growth will 'pick up a little' but focuses on quality. No explicit ROA reconfirm. Q2 ROA improving, but growth muted.
Gold lending moat in competitive market — Rajiv Mehta, Yes Securities
PartialMarket expanding fast; we've set up new branches (38 added). Competitive intensity real but market growing. We focus on customer experience, transparent pricing. Second half looks good.
Off-book co-lending economics — Shubhranshu Mishra, PhillipCapital
AnsweredCo-lending grows due to capital efficiency. Almost 40% of our assignment/co-lending gold book is monthly repayment (not bullet). RBI allows no priority sector benefit, but income amortizes over time.
MSME yield compression — Pavan, Edelweiss
AnsweredMoving toward superior quality borrowers = lower yield, lower credit cost. New MSME business at 12.5-13.5% yield with superior quality. Opportunity cost trade-off accepted strategically.
Guidance
AUM growth 25-30% FY27 (implied by prior 17-18% home, 30%+ disbursement)
MediumOn pace (38% YoY to date) but home finance slowing to 4% QoQ; overall growth momentum strong but driven by gold, not guided home segment.
Credit cost 1.5-1.7% (Q1 actual 1.6%); NIM/spread to compress modestly
HighNPA declining, provision down 5% sequentially; on track. Cost of borrowing up 3bps to 9.08%, spread narrowed 6bps to 7.42%; compression ongoing.
No formal capex guidance; capital raise committed 'this quarter' to fund growth
LowBranch expansion ongoing (38 added); capital raise pending closure; equity dilution 10-20% expected. Timing vague ('hopefully this quarter').
Risks the call surfaced
Home finance guidance gap
HighFY27 target 17-18% home loan growth; Q2 momentum only 4% QoQ. Yield compression (10bps QoQ to 11.81%) due to LAP share gain pressures margins. Management confident H2 will accelerate but unproven.
Capital raise completion risk
MediumCapital raise committed but not closed; management says 'hopefully this quarter.' No size or structure (QIP vs strategic) confirmed. Equity dilution 10-20% if completed, impacting ROE and per-share growth.
Yield compression across portfolio
MediumHome loan yield -10bps QoQ to 11.81% (LAP-driven); MSME yield -98bps YoY (quality trade-off); net interest spread narrowed 6bps QoQ to 7.42%. Cost of borrowing up 3bps to 9.08%. Blended yield declining across segments.
Gold loan NPA volatility
MediumGold loan 1-30 DPD bucket increased 30bps QoQ to ~7% (1-30 DPD for gold loans); gold prices lower at quarter-end vs start. While management expects normalization, if gold prices correct further, NPA escalation risk. Gold loans 53% of total AUM.
Insurance commission regulation impact
MediumIRDAI insurance commission rules effective soon; commission declines from 14% to 2.5-5%. INR250Cr group exposure (INR78Cr Samasta, INR160Cr HFC); stand-alone IIFL negligible. 4.5-5% of group revenue at risk. Regulatory arbitrage for bundled products ending.
Microfinance growth caution
LowSamasta Finance AUM stable at INR10.8Cr QoQ; management signals cautious growth approach, quality-focused. ROA target 2.5-3% by year-end not explicitly reaffirmed. Microfinance growth slower than broader portfolio momentum.
Management
Score 7/10. Clear on operational metrics (AUM, NPA, yield); candid on headwinds (home finance growth slower, yield compression, insurance impact). Evasive on capital raise size/timing and specific FY27 guidance reaffirmation. Acknowledged challenges in real-time rather than defensive. Strong on credit cost (NPA declining, provision down 5% sequentially) vs guidance. Home finance growth tracking slower than 17-18% FY27 target (4% QoQ). Disbursement momentum (+10% QoQ) stronger than AUM growth, suggesting improved origination. Branch expansion (38 new) underway.
1 · Q3 FY27 (Oct-Dec 2026)
Capital raise closure (QIP or stake sale); equity dilution impact visible
2 · H2 FY27
Home finance acceleration & LAP yield normalization; branch expansion (38 new branches added)
3 · FY27 full-year
Insurance commission regulations implemented; INR250Cr exposure at group level (4.5-5% revenue), minimal on stand-alone
Capital raise (committed but not closed) and yield pressure in the core home book are key near-term risks.
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