Strong execution at 46% growth; order book momentum intact despite new ventures unproven
The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.
Hold
confidence 7/10
Grade A
Hit H1 guidance. Reaffirmed 40% FY27 growth and 11-12% EBITDA margin. Execution momentum demonstrated.
Optimistic
next 1–2 quarters
Optimistic
multi-year
Strong operational execution (46% revenue growth, margin sustained at 12% EBITDA) and guidance reaffirmation on a robust macro tailwind in power transmission/distribution. Key risk: order book target (₹5,000 Cr) requires ₹1,300+ Cr more inflows in H2; new growth engines (BESS, HKRP, NZ) are early-stage and speculative, contributing marginally to FY27.
₹929.3 Cr
Revenue · +45.7% YoY₹79.2 Cr
Reported PAT · +34.8% YoYExpanding
Margins · vs guidance: CorroboratedDid the claims hold up?
H1 revenue growth 46% with 12% EBITDA margin
MET₹929.3 Cr revenue (46% YoY), ₹112 Cr EBITDA (12% margin), 8.5% PAT margin
Fresh order inflows H1 FY27 ₹1,250 Cr plus October ₹450 Cr
METPer call: H1 ₹1,250 Cr fresh orders, plus Oct ₹450 Cr = ₹1,700 Cr YTD (vs ₹4,000-5,000 Cr FY27 target)
Order book ₹3,600-4,000 Cr to execute in 18-24 months
METManagement stated ~₹3,600-4,000 Cr unexecuted; targeting ₹5,000 Cr closing by year-end
HKRP FY27 standalone revenue target ₹150 Cr at 20% PAT margin
OVERSTATEDUtsav Panchal: 'Target in FY27 for HKRP is around INR 150 crore of revenue and 20% PAT margin on standalone basis'
Maintaining 40% FY27 growth guidance despite macro volatility
METAdhish Patel: 'What guidance we had committed of 40%, we are maintaining our guidance' (upper end of prior 35-40% range)
Earnings quality
What changed since the last call
Revenue growth guidance reaffirmed
MaintainedManagement stated '40% growth' guidance for FY27 unchanged; call confirmed upper end of prior 35–40% range. H1 delivered 46%, tracking above guidance.
EBITDA margin ceiling held
MaintainedH1 margin 12% (top of 11–12% range); management reaffirmed 11–12% guidance despite cost inflation (import volatility noted).
Order book target escalated to ₹5,000 Cr
NeutralPrior call (FY26) referenced ₹4,000–5,000 Cr new inflows target. Current call reveals ₹5,000 Cr is closing book target (i.e., total unexecuted order book by year-end), not new inflows. Requires ₹1,300+ Cr incremental H2 inflows.
New initiatives unveiled (BESS, NZ, HKRP)
NewBESS (65 MW Virpur), NZ subsidiary (evaluating), HKRP ₹150 Cr FY27, data centre (preliminary). Not previously quantified; each early-stage.
Geographic mix shift underway
UpgradeOutside Gujarat order book moved from ~10% to 12% (H1 call). Targeting 15–20% in 2 years. Odisha emerging as material hub (₹16,000 Cr govt transmission projects announced).
The Q&A
Analysts pressed on working capital deterioration (receivables +86% YoY), HKRP margin profile, and ₹5,000 Cr order book feasibility. Management held firm: explained receivables as seasonal (September billing), HKRP as H2-heavy contributor, and order book as achievable given current ₹3,600–4,000 Cr unexecuted pipeline plus ₹1,700 Cr fresh inflows YTD.
JV profit margin and HKRP — Vishwendra Singh, Prudent Equity
AnsweredHKRP H2-heavy; JV 100% parent company. L1 status ~₹100 Cr; current bid pipeline ₹3,500–4,000 Cr
Guidance maintenance — Vishwendra Singh, Prudent Equity
AnsweredYes. Maintaining guidance of 40% growth and 11–12% EBITDA margin
Order book composition — Atul Kumar, Individual Investor
AnsweredL1 status ~₹100 Cr. Current bid pipeline ₹3,500–4,000 Cr total unexecuted. No HKRP order in parent's order book
New ventures and receivables — Atul Kumar, Individual Investor
PartialReceivables seasonal; ₹150–200 Cr booked in Sept alone (project-dependent). Unbilled is retention money to be recovered. NZ evaluating opportunities, no specific number yet
Order wins and execution — Nikhil Kanodia, Sunidhi Securities
AnsweredPGVCL ₹800–900 Cr, RVPNL ₹132 Cr gas, Odisha ₹212 Cr. 18–24 month execution. Margins sustained 11–12% EBITDA. NZ early-stage, targeting solar generation growth
HKRP and BESS strategy — Maitri Shah, Sapphire Capital
AnsweredHKRP ₹100–150 Cr per project; ₹3,000 Cr pan-India SCADA/DMS opportunity. BESS bidding purely EPC (not BOT). Data centre in preliminary stage with leading players
Outside Gujarat growth — Pawan Kumar, RatnaTraya Capital
AnsweredOutside Gujarat 10% → 12% currently; targeting 15–20% in 2 years. ₹5,000 Cr closing order book is achievable with current ₹3,600–4,000 Cr unexecuted pipeline
Working capital trend — Bijal Shah, RTL Investments
PartialReceivables project-dependent; Sept booking of ₹150–200 Cr explains surge. Execution momentum H2 will offset. Trade receivables improved due to better collections
HKRP investments — Mohit Arora, Hem Securities
AnsweredGIS mapping and tech part of project delivery; traditional transaction between HKRP and Rajesh. Promoter buying on dips in March; no current selling
Order book closing target — Vishwendra Singh, Prudent Equity (follow-up)
AnsweredYes, confident. Data centre is preliminary stage; targeting partnership approach (RFQ basis). Geographic diversification in progress
BESS and ex-Gujarat mix — Purva Shah, Grobiz Fund
AnsweredBESS EPC ₹200–300 Cr pipeline. Ex-Gujarat order book ₹1,500 Cr (moving from 10% to 12% share). Share increasing over time
Guidance
FY27 +40% growth (upper end of prior 35–40% range)
HighH1 delivered 46%; order book ₹3,600–4,000 Cr supports. Reaffirmed on call despite macro volatility
EBITDA 11–12% for FY27
HighH1 at 12% (top of range). Management stated maintained despite cost volatility (imports). FY27 achievable
PAT 8–9% margin for FY27
HighH1 at 8.5%; within range. Operating leverage demonstrated; stable financial costs
No formal CapEx guidance disclosed
MediumBESS 65 MW Virpur and HKRP platform investments mentioned (IPO proceeds deployed). Data centre and NZ early-stage
Risks the call surfaced
Order book execution
MediumUnexecuted order book ₹3,600–4,000 Cr; ₹5,000 Cr target requires ₹1,300+ Cr fresh inflows in H2. H1 added ₹1,700 Cr (incl Oct). If tendering slows or orders slip beyond FY27, growth guidance at risk.
HKRP contribution timing
MediumHKRP ₹150 Cr FY27 revenue target entirely in H2 (zero H1). Management stated H2-heavy; if SCADA/DMS project execution slips, full-year guidance at risk. Additionally, ₹150 Cr is ~16% of Rajesh's ₹929 Cr H1 run-rate; significant bet on early-stage profit margin (20% PAT).
Working capital seasonality
MediumTrade receivables jumped 86% YoY (₹174 Cr to ₹324 Cr); ₹150–200 Cr booked in September alone. While management attributed to normal project scheduling, the seasonal spike indicates lumpy cash flows and DSO vulnerability if project payment schedules tighten.
New ventures execution risk
MediumBESS pilot at Virpur is 65 MW (marginal relative to ₹929 Cr revenue). Data centre opportunity is 'preliminary stage'. NZ subsidiary is 'evaluating opportunities' with no specific targets. Together, these represent speculative growth but lack near-term revenue visibility. Market execution risk is elevated.
Geographic concentration reduction pace
LowOutside Gujarat order book only at 12% (up from 10% H1). Target is 15–20% in 2 years. While progression is underway, company remains Gujarat-centric for near-term. Odisha entry (₹212 Cr) is one large order; broader geographic traction is still building.
Management
Score 8/10. Clear, quantified responses. Management cited specific order values, timelines, and margin targets. Some deflection on data centre timing and NZ specifics, but overall candid on working capital seasonality and new venture early-stage status. Strong track record: 46% H1 revenue growth vs prior 35–40% guidance. Expanded to new geographies (Odisha ₹212 Cr) and new segments (BESS). Maintained EBITDA margin at 12% despite cost volatility. One concern: HKRP delivery concentrated in H2 with zero H1 contribution.
1 · Nov 2026–Feb 2027
Execute ₹1,200–1,300 Cr of unexecuted order book
2 · H2 FY27
HKRP ₹150 Cr standalone revenue delivery on SCADA/DMS projects
3 · Next 18–24 months
Odisha ₹212 Cr transmission project execution (geographic expansion)
Key risk: order book target (₹5,000 Cr) requires ₹1,300+ Cr more inflows in H2; new growth engines (BESS, HKRP, NZ) are early-stage and speculative, contributing marginally to FY27.
Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.