StockWatch
·
RAJESH POWER SERVICES LTD · QQ2 FY-2027 · THE CALL

Strong execution at 46% growth; order book momentum intact despite new ventures unproven

The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.

Q2 FY27 resultsRAJESHRajesh Power Services Ltd08 Nov 2026 · 6 min read
Verdict

Hold

confidence 7/10

Credibility

Grade A

Hit H1 guidance. Reaffirmed 40% FY27 growth and 11-12% EBITDA margin. Execution momentum demonstrated.

Short-term outlook

Optimistic

next 1–2 quarters

Long-term outlook

Optimistic

multi-year

Strong operational execution (46% revenue growth, margin sustained at 12% EBITDA) and guidance reaffirmation on a robust macro tailwind in power transmission/distribution. Key risk: order book target (₹5,000 Cr) requires ₹1,300+ Cr more inflows in H2; new growth engines (BESS, HKRP, NZ) are early-stage and speculative, contributing marginally to FY27.

₹929.3 Cr

Revenue · +45.7% YoY

₹79.2 Cr

Reported PAT · +34.8% YoY

Expanding

Margins · vs guidance: Corroborated

Did the claims hold up?

Management's claims vs. the numbers

H1 revenue growth 46% with 12% EBITDA margin

MET

₹929.3 Cr revenue (46% YoY), ₹112 Cr EBITDA (12% margin), 8.5% PAT margin

Fresh order inflows H1 FY27 ₹1,250 Cr plus October ₹450 Cr

MET

Per call: H1 ₹1,250 Cr fresh orders, plus Oct ₹450 Cr = ₹1,700 Cr YTD (vs ₹4,000-5,000 Cr FY27 target)

Order book ₹3,600-4,000 Cr to execute in 18-24 months

MET

Management stated ~₹3,600-4,000 Cr unexecuted; targeting ₹5,000 Cr closing by year-end

HKRP FY27 standalone revenue target ₹150 Cr at 20% PAT margin

OVERSTATED

Utsav Panchal: 'Target in FY27 for HKRP is around INR 150 crore of revenue and 20% PAT margin on standalone basis'

Maintaining 40% FY27 growth guidance despite macro volatility

MET

Adhish Patel: 'What guidance we had committed of 40%, we are maintaining our guidance' (upper end of prior 35-40% range)

Earnings quality

What changed since the last call

Deltas vs. the prior call

Revenue growth guidance reaffirmed

Maintained

Management stated '40% growth' guidance for FY27 unchanged; call confirmed upper end of prior 35–40% range. H1 delivered 46%, tracking above guidance.

EBITDA margin ceiling held

Maintained

H1 margin 12% (top of 11–12% range); management reaffirmed 11–12% guidance despite cost inflation (import volatility noted).

Order book target escalated to ₹5,000 Cr

Neutral

Prior call (FY26) referenced ₹4,000–5,000 Cr new inflows target. Current call reveals ₹5,000 Cr is closing book target (i.e., total unexecuted order book by year-end), not new inflows. Requires ₹1,300+ Cr incremental H2 inflows.

New initiatives unveiled (BESS, NZ, HKRP)

New

BESS (65 MW Virpur), NZ subsidiary (evaluating), HKRP ₹150 Cr FY27, data centre (preliminary). Not previously quantified; each early-stage.

Geographic mix shift underway

Upgrade

Outside Gujarat order book moved from ~10% to 12% (H1 call). Targeting 15–20% in 2 years. Odisha emerging as material hub (₹16,000 Cr govt transmission projects announced).

The Q&A

Analysts pressed on working capital deterioration (receivables +86% YoY), HKRP margin profile, and ₹5,000 Cr order book feasibility. Management held firm: explained receivables as seasonal (September billing), HKRP as H2-heavy contributor, and order book as achievable given current ₹3,600–4,000 Cr unexecuted pipeline plus ₹1,700 Cr fresh inflows YTD.

The exchanges that mattered

JV profit margin and HKRP — Vishwendra Singh, Prudent Equity

Answered

HKRP H2-heavy; JV 100% parent company. L1 status ~₹100 Cr; current bid pipeline ₹3,500–4,000 Cr

Guidance maintenance — Vishwendra Singh, Prudent Equity

Answered

Yes. Maintaining guidance of 40% growth and 11–12% EBITDA margin

Order book composition — Atul Kumar, Individual Investor

Answered

L1 status ~₹100 Cr. Current bid pipeline ₹3,500–4,000 Cr total unexecuted. No HKRP order in parent's order book

New ventures and receivables — Atul Kumar, Individual Investor

Partial

Receivables seasonal; ₹150–200 Cr booked in Sept alone (project-dependent). Unbilled is retention money to be recovered. NZ evaluating opportunities, no specific number yet

Order wins and execution — Nikhil Kanodia, Sunidhi Securities

Answered

PGVCL ₹800–900 Cr, RVPNL ₹132 Cr gas, Odisha ₹212 Cr. 18–24 month execution. Margins sustained 11–12% EBITDA. NZ early-stage, targeting solar generation growth

HKRP and BESS strategy — Maitri Shah, Sapphire Capital

Answered

HKRP ₹100–150 Cr per project; ₹3,000 Cr pan-India SCADA/DMS opportunity. BESS bidding purely EPC (not BOT). Data centre in preliminary stage with leading players

Outside Gujarat growth — Pawan Kumar, RatnaTraya Capital

Answered

Outside Gujarat 10% → 12% currently; targeting 15–20% in 2 years. ₹5,000 Cr closing order book is achievable with current ₹3,600–4,000 Cr unexecuted pipeline

Working capital trend — Bijal Shah, RTL Investments

Partial

Receivables project-dependent; Sept booking of ₹150–200 Cr explains surge. Execution momentum H2 will offset. Trade receivables improved due to better collections

HKRP investments — Mohit Arora, Hem Securities

Answered

GIS mapping and tech part of project delivery; traditional transaction between HKRP and Rajesh. Promoter buying on dips in March; no current selling

Order book closing target — Vishwendra Singh, Prudent Equity (follow-up)

Answered

Yes, confident. Data centre is preliminary stage; targeting partnership approach (RFQ basis). Geographic diversification in progress

BESS and ex-Gujarat mix — Purva Shah, Grobiz Fund

Answered

BESS EPC ₹200–300 Cr pipeline. Ex-Gujarat order book ₹1,500 Cr (moving from 10% to 12% share). Share increasing over time

Guidance

Forward guidance and management's confidence

FY27 +40% growth (upper end of prior 35–40% range)

High

H1 delivered 46%; order book ₹3,600–4,000 Cr supports. Reaffirmed on call despite macro volatility

EBITDA 11–12% for FY27

High

H1 at 12% (top of range). Management stated maintained despite cost volatility (imports). FY27 achievable

PAT 8–9% margin for FY27

High

H1 at 8.5%; within range. Operating leverage demonstrated; stable financial costs

No formal CapEx guidance disclosed

Medium

BESS 65 MW Virpur and HKRP platform investments mentioned (IPO proceeds deployed). Data centre and NZ early-stage

Risks the call surfaced

Ranked by how much they should concern a holder

Order book execution

Medium

Unexecuted order book ₹3,600–4,000 Cr; ₹5,000 Cr target requires ₹1,300+ Cr fresh inflows in H2. H1 added ₹1,700 Cr (incl Oct). If tendering slows or orders slip beyond FY27, growth guidance at risk.

HKRP contribution timing

Medium

HKRP ₹150 Cr FY27 revenue target entirely in H2 (zero H1). Management stated H2-heavy; if SCADA/DMS project execution slips, full-year guidance at risk. Additionally, ₹150 Cr is ~16% of Rajesh's ₹929 Cr H1 run-rate; significant bet on early-stage profit margin (20% PAT).

Working capital seasonality

Medium

Trade receivables jumped 86% YoY (₹174 Cr to ₹324 Cr); ₹150–200 Cr booked in September alone. While management attributed to normal project scheduling, the seasonal spike indicates lumpy cash flows and DSO vulnerability if project payment schedules tighten.

New ventures execution risk

Medium

BESS pilot at Virpur is 65 MW (marginal relative to ₹929 Cr revenue). Data centre opportunity is 'preliminary stage'. NZ subsidiary is 'evaluating opportunities' with no specific targets. Together, these represent speculative growth but lack near-term revenue visibility. Market execution risk is elevated.

Geographic concentration reduction pace

Low

Outside Gujarat order book only at 12% (up from 10% H1). Target is 15–20% in 2 years. While progression is underway, company remains Gujarat-centric for near-term. Odisha entry (₹212 Cr) is one large order; broader geographic traction is still building.

Management

Score 8/10. Clear, quantified responses. Management cited specific order values, timelines, and margin targets. Some deflection on data centre timing and NZ specifics, but overall candid on working capital seasonality and new venture early-stage status. Strong track record: 46% H1 revenue growth vs prior 35–40% guidance. Expanded to new geographies (Odisha ₹212 Cr) and new segments (BESS). Maintained EBITDA margin at 12% despite cost volatility. One concern: HKRP delivery concentrated in H2 with zero H1 contribution.

What to watch next
  • 1 · Nov 2026–Feb 2027

    Execute ₹1,200–1,300 Cr of unexecuted order book

  • 2 · H2 FY27

    HKRP ₹150 Cr standalone revenue delivery on SCADA/DMS projects

  • 3 · Next 18–24 months

    Odisha ₹212 Cr transmission project execution (geographic expansion)

Key risk: order book target (₹5,000 Cr) requires ₹1,300+ Cr more inflows in H2; new growth engines (BESS, HKRP, NZ) are early-stage and speculative, contributing marginally to FY27.

Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.