Strong renewable growth offset by EV unit losses; turnaround path outlined
The verdict, the claims that held up, the sharpest analyst exchanges, and the risks — the earnings call, decoded from the transcript.
Hold
confidence 7/10
Grade B
No prior explicit guidance; this call sets baseline. Renewable EBITDA +59% (target tracking), EIM losses acknowledged and expected to narrow.
Cautiously Optimistic
next 1–2 quarters
Optimistic
multi-year
Renewable business tracking well with 58% revenue growth, but consolidated PAT collapsed 38% due to Energy in Motion unit losses. Management credible on turnaround path (narrowing Q3–Q4) and merger logic, but execution risk is real; near-term accretive catalysts are limited. Warrant clarity on EIM path to profitability before rating upgrade.
₹190.3 Cr
Revenue · +58.2% YoY₹19 Cr
Reported PAT · −38.1% YoYCompressing
Margins · vs guidance: CorroboratedDid the claims hold up?
Q2 revenue ₹190 Cr across three segments
METDelivered ₹190.3 Cr: ₹31 Cr generation + ₹26 Cr trading + ₹133 Cr EPC
Consolidated PAT ₹19 Cr after EIM adjustment
METDelivered ₹19.0 Cr; RE standalone PAT ₹26 Cr vs ₹24.4 Cr YoY
EBITDA ₹53 Cr vs ₹33.4 Cr YoY expansion
OVERSTATEDClaimed 59% EBITDA growth, but consolidated PAT fell 38% YoY due to EIM losses
EIM vehicle sales 142 units in Q2, strong order pipeline
METMOUs signed ~1500 vehicles but not yet conversion to sales; current run rate 142 Q2
Earnings quality
What changed since the last call
EIM capacity expansion accelerated
UpgradeCharging stations 8→15 by Dec, 40 by Mar; vehicle sales 58 (Q1)→142 (Q2) units; MOUs ~1500 vehicles
EIM losses persistence
NeutralStill loss-making Q2; management guides Q3–Q4 narrowing significantly but no specific numbers provided
The Q&A
Moderate pressure on EIM profitability and order book specificity. Analysts probed pricing power (₹60 lakh ASP), breakeven timeline, supply-chain localization, and post-merger dilution. Management held firm on strategy (cost leadership, network expansion path clear) but was evasive on exact order book size (disclosed MOUs ~1500 instead).
EV pricing & order book — Deepesh Sancheti, Maanya Finance
PartialASP ~₹60 lakh (95% trucks without battery). Energy packages ₹14–33 lakh/year service fee. Can't disclose order book but MOUs ~1500 vehicles with large transporters.
Production capacity & milestones — Deepesh Sancheti, Maanya Finance
AnsweredDesigned for 5,000 vehicles/year. Trial production ongoing; 200 basis/month from January. Battery plant at similar scale, full production January.
Supply chain localization — Deepesh Sancheti, Maanya Finance
AnsweredAggressive indigenization plan via Talegaon facility. Battery cell and motor imports temporary; medium–long term localized. Indian auto component sector competitive on cost/quality.
Renewable capacity & FY27 targets — Charchit Maloo, Genuity Capital
AnsweredCurrent 261 MW, +231 MW u/c, target 500 MW by Mar '27. FY27 EPC revenue ~₹600 Cr (₹200 Cr H1 booked). Electricity sales ₹141–150 Cr FY27 vs ₹89 Cr FY26.
RE monetization timeline — Charchit Maloo, Genuity Capital
PartialStrategic review ongoing. 200–300 MW solar planned for charging network support. Monetization via government/corporate PPAs targeted for '27–'28, not immediate.
Merger timeline — Vikash Bagla, Veins Advisors
AnsweredStock exchange filing November '26. SEBI review expected by month-end. NCLT approval typically 3–4 months post-SEBI. Target September '27. Post-merger network value ~₹900 Cr.
RE–EIM synergies & leverage — Vikash Bagla, Veins Advisors
AnsweredExisting capacity tied up on long-term PPAs. New projects built for EIM charging support. Battery swapping stations 2.5 MVA outdoor; 100 swap stations = 200–300 MW solar dedicated.
EIM profitability path — Nirav Dalal, MIB Securities
AnsweredCurrent margin ~6% (was 8%). Payback 2.5 years on ₹25 lakh upfront + ₹10 lakh/year battery service. Target 2,000 vehicles/year to reach positive. Volume growth + network utilization critical.
Post-merger equity dilution — Nirav Dalal, MIB Securities
PartialNetwork post-merger target ₹900 Cr. Exact equity dilution to be provided later.
Plant commissioning & analyst visits — Nimish Seth, GT Advisory
AnsweredFull-scale production January 2027. First truck assembled Oct 30. Battery plant commissioned next quarter. Analyst visits and demonstrations organized next quarter.
Guidance
FY27 EPC revenue ~₹600 Cr (₹200 Cr H1 booked)
HighBased on 200 MW capacity addition plan; 100 MW added last year establishes execution track record
FY27 electricity generation ₹141–150 Cr
Highvs ₹89 Cr FY26; capacity additions and higher utilization drive growth
EIM losses to narrow significantly in Q3–Q4
MediumNo specific PAT target; management expects margin inflection from volume + network utilization
200–220 MW capacity addition FY27 (vs 100 MW FY26)
HighFunded via project advances and equity; land already acquired
Risks the call surfaced
EIM business losses & profitability
HighEIM Q2 loss ~₹7 Cr on consolidated basis. Vehicle sales 142 units Q2; target 2,000 units/year to reach positive. Execution risk on production ramp and volume conversion.
Merger execution risk
MediumSeptember '27 merger completion subject to SEBI, NCLT approvals. Post-merger integration of ₹900 Cr EIM network requires aligned capital allocation and governance.
Supply chain & technology import dependency
MediumEV battery cells and critical motor components imported (China/Korea). Localization on 18–24 month horizon. Supply disruption or policy changes (e.g., China tech ban) could impact product cost/availability.
Order book & demand conversion
MediumMOUs ~1500 vehicles claimed but conversion timeline unclear. Q2 sales only 142 units; 6-month engagement-to-conversion cycle noted. Risk of order slippage or slower uptake.
Renewable project execution & capex absorption
Low200–220 MW capacity addition FY27 (vs 100 MW FY26). Higher capex required; land already acquired, PPA signed. Execution risk moderate given track record.
Management
Score 7/10. Candid on EIM losses and challenges; specific on renewable guidance. Evasive on EV order book specificity (disclosed MOUs instead of exact pipe). Good transparency on merger timeline and execution risks. RE business track record strong (100+ MW added FY26). EIM early-stage, losses narrowing from Q1 peak. Merger strategy clear but not yet proven.
1 · Q3 FY27
Pune EV facility full-scale production ramp; battery plant commissioning
2 · Dec 2026
Charging network expand to 15 stations; network sales inflection
3 · Sep 2027
Merger completion; group integration and ₹900 Cr EIM network valuation
Warrant clarity on EIM path to profitability before rating upgrade.
Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.