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Sagility India Ltd Q2 FY27 Results

SAGILITYQ2 FY27 Results
Filing
Result:Good· Market: Down#Margin squeeze#One-off gain

Outlook: Optimistic · Guidance: Raised

MetricValue (₹ Cr)Q1 FY27Q2 FY26
Revenue2.0K3.5%22.5%
Total Income2.0K3.4%19.1%
Expenditure1.7K0.3%20.2%
PBT374.2230.2%14.5%
Net Profit284.2131.1%13.3%
OPM25.21%3.66pp0.18pp
NPM13.90%2.94pp0.71pp
EPS0.6132.6%15.1%
View full financials

CC organic revenue growth of 11.9% was in line with guidance but adjusted PAT grew just 8.1% YoY with a 210bps YoY margin compression, making this an ordinary IT-services quarter rather than a standout.

SAGILITY INDIA LTD · Q2 FY-2027 · THE VERDICT

Margin Victory, Profit Loss—The Q2 Paradox

Sagility's operational machine hummed in Q2: EBITDA margins hit a 6-quarter high and guidance climbed. But net profit growth slowed to just 13.3% while revenue surged 22.5%—a red flag buried under operational success.

29 Oct 2026 · 6 min read
Reported PAT growth

+13.3%

YoY

Adjusted PAT growth

+8.1%

YoY; lags revenue

EBITDA margin

26.3%

6-qtr high

Guidance change

Raised

EBITDA 24–25% → 25–26%

The quarter in one line

Sagility nailed operational execution in Q2. Revenue climbed 22.5% YoY to ₹2,032 crore, and adjusted EBITDA margins expanded to 26.3%—the highest in six quarters—despite ₹148 million in statutory wage hikes. Management raised full-year EBITDA guidance from 24–25% to 25–26%, signalling confidence in leverage. But there's a catch: net profit growth stalled at 13.3% YoY, and adjusted PAT grew just 8.1%. That gap—revenue flying, profit limping—is the story.

Where the profit weakness lives

The disconnect is real. While Q2 adjusted EBITDA expanded 23% YoY and margins held despite wage inflation, adjusted net profit grew just 8.1% YoY. The wage impact alone—₹148 million in Q2 versus ₹70 million in Q1—tells part of the story. But the deeper issue is that operational gains above EBITDA aren't flowing through to the bottom line. Finance costs, taxes, and adjustments (acquisition earnouts, share awards, FX) are eating into profit more than in the prior year. Management's own adjusted PAT definition now shows real net margin pressure, even as EBITDA looks bulletproof.

Q2 FY27 growth rates, %
08.416.825.222.5Revenue YoY13.3Reported PAT YoY8.1Adjusted PAT YoY
Revenue growth 22.5% YoY, but adjusted PAT lags at 8.1%—a 1,440-basis-point gap signals net margin compression.

What the call claimed, and what holds up

Key management assertions vs. delivered reality

Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin 26.3%, highest in 6 quarters

What the numbers show

Confirmed: Q2 delivered 26.3% adjusted EBITDA vs. 25% in Q1

Verdict

Supported

Wage hikes fully absorbed; margins not compromised

What the numbers show

Supported: margins expanded 130 bps YoY despite ₹148M wage impact

Verdict

Supported

FY27 low double-digit constant currency organic growth on track

What the numbers show

Q2 organic growth 11.9% CC (ex-CareSeed). Reaffirmed full-year guidance

Verdict

Supported

Deal ACV $40.2M, up 18.2% YoY

What the numbers show

Stated on call; not independently verified in filed results

Verdict

Unverified

Provider segment growth accelerating post-Chirok

What the numbers show

Chirok closed Oct 22, $13M TTM; provider historically 10–11% growth. Strategy clear, execution unproven yet

Verdict

Partially supported

Adjusted PAT growth 8.1% shows earnings quality stable

What the numbers show

8.1% is weaker than revenue growth 22.5%; signals net margin compression below EBITDA level

Verdict

Overstated (framed positively but reveals concern)

What changed on this call

The bull-bear ledger

  • Revenue growth 22.5% YoY solid and consistent with low double-digit organic guidance

  • EBITDA margins at 6-quarter high despite wage inflation—operating leverage intact

  • Guidance raised on EBITDA to 25–26%; management confidence backed by delivery

  • Chirok acquisition brings end-to-end RCM and physician relationships to provider segment

  • Strong cash generation: H1 OCF ₹634 Cr at 64.9% EBITDA conversion; net cash ₹113 Cr

  • Adjusted PAT growth only 8.1% YoY; net profit lagging revenue badly

  • Provider segment remains weak at 10% growth; Chirok integration unproven

  • H2 AEP seasonality drag ~100 bps expected; near-term momentum headwind

  • Payer segment 89.9% of revenue; large customer concentration embedded

  • Medical cost trend normalization may ease client cost-takeout urgency

Risks, ranked by how much they should concern a holder

What could derail the operational narrative

PAT growth lag at net profit level

High

Adjusted PAT grew only 8.1% YoY vs. revenue 22.5%. This gap signals that gains above EBITDA (finance costs, taxes, earnout adjustments) are compressing net profit. Shareholders see revenue growth but shrinking earnings per share growth.

Provider segment execution and Chirok integration

High

Provider at 10–11% growth is the company's weakest lever. Chirok is meant to fix this, but integration risk is real and time-to-revenue-synergy unquantified. Management deferred 2–3 year provider targets, signalling uncertainty.

H2 AEP seasonality headwind

Medium

Management expects AEP/open enrolment to contribute ~100 bps lower % of total H2 revenue vs. prior year. Q2 had higher seasonal boost; H2 will feel the reversal. Could pressure FY27 organic growth if not offset elsewhere.

Medical cost trend normalization

Medium

Medical utilization stabilized H1 CY26 among national payers. If trends ease further, client urgency for outsourced cost management may decline, reducing service demand and pricing power.

Large customer concentration in payer segment

Medium

Payer segment is 89.9% of Q2 revenue; top 10 client groups each >₹20 crore annual TTM. Loss of a single large account would materially impact revenue.

Wage cost inflation ongoing

Low

Statutory minimum wage hikes are fully baked into guidance. No residual upside if delayed. Risk is only if future wage increases steepen beyond current guidance assumptions.

How the street sees it

The stock is trading ₹45.29, a bullish trend above all key moving averages—SMA20 ₹44.15, SMA50 ₹44.57, SMA200 ₹43.48. But the tape tells a mixed story. The stock sits 21.77% below its all-time high of ₹57.89, a significant drawdown that suggests the market has already priced in caution. From its 52-week low of ₹35.83, though, it has recovered 26.4%, indicating institutional accumulation into weakness. Volume is increasing, a positive sign for momentum.

Ownership data shows FII at 9.99%, flat QoQ; DII at 21.42%, down 87 basis points this quarter; and promoter at 50.95%, unchanged. FII holding steady while DII trims slightly suggests large foreign funds see value, but domestic institutions are being selective. No bulk deal or insider selling reported near the ATH, a positive signal; any sharp price move without insider selling is harder to second-guess.

The RSI of 53.6 is neutral—neither overbought nor oversold—leaving room for either direction. The market's own verdict seems to be: solid operational execution (bullish trend, increasing volume), but earnings quality concerns (PAT lag, provider weakness) merit caution (the 21% drawdown from ATH). That bifurcation is the street's honest read.

The debate

What to watch next

Three things that resolve the debate by Q3
  • 1 · Adjusted PAT growth in Q3 and onwards

    Does adjusted PAT growth re-accelerate toward revenue growth, or does the 8.1% YoY lag persist? If net profit continues to trail revenue, margin expansion loses credibility as earnings quality falls. Q3 will have H2 seasonality headwind baked in; if adjusted PAT still grows <10% YoY, net margin compression is structural, not cyclical.

  • 2 · Chirok revenue synergy traction

    Management guided for 'healthy clip' provider growth but offered no quantified 2–3 year target. Q3 and Q4 FY27 data will show early integration progress. If provider accelerates noticeably (>15% growth) or Chirok cross-sell wins materialize, risk diminishes. If provider remains flat-to-low single-digit, integration is slower than expected.

  • 3 · H2 seasonality magnitude and FY27 guidance hold

    Management flagged ~100 bps lower AEP contribution H2 vs. prior year. That will show in Q3 run-rate. If drag is smaller or offset by new wins, FY27 low double-digit guidance likely holds and may be re-raised. If H2 stumbles (organic <10% CC), guidance maintained but confidence questioned.

The number to track from here

Watch adjusted PAT growth quarter-over-quarter. This is the arbiter. If it re-couples to revenue growth and moves above 15% YoY by Q3, the operational story is intact and margin beat is durable. If it remains in the 8–10% range, the company has a real profitability problem nested beneath operational success, and the street will reprice accordingly. Sagility is not a financial engineering story; it's a healthcare service delivery story. The profit must grow with the revenue.

Sagility India delivered a classically bifurcated quarter: operational excellence masked by earnings weakness. Margins are strong, guidance is raised, and the strategic rationale for Chirok is sound. But net profit growth lagging revenue by 1,400 basis points is not a footnote—it's a signal. Management's tone on the call was confident and candid, which counts for something. But confidence in a 25–26% EBITDA margin doesn't resolve the adjusted PAT problem.

The stock's 21% drawdown from its all-time high wasn't irrational; it reflects the market's own uncertainty on whether operational leverage will translate to earnings leverage. Bullish volume and FII holding steady suggest hope, not conviction. For a holder, the next two quarters are make-or-break: either adjusted PAT re-accelerates and the margin story becomes a profit story, or it doesn't and this becomes a steady-state cash-generation franchise valued on yield, not growth.

Rating: Hold. Strong execution, but the profit concern demands resolution before upgrading. The number to track is adjusted PAT growth.

Informational and educational content only. Not investment advice.